Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +22 (86-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thornton * | 28 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | - |
| C. Webb * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| I. Swann * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Galloway * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Rich * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Wilson | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Mims | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Allen | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Romero | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Breeden | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| U. Echefu | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bethel * | 36 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| E. Atsur * | 32 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 22 | - |
| C. Simmons * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Bennerman * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| I. Evtimov * | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Brackman | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| G. Grant | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Fells | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. McCauley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Nieman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Albritton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. McCoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter