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2006-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.1% 80.9% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.4 (6.4 off)
Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bausley 31 7-13 3-5 3-8 10 0 1 1 4 20 15 -
D. Freeman 30 4-12 1-3 1-2 7 1 0 0 4 10 2 -
H. Hargrave 29 2-9 0-3 5-6 3 1 2 0 1 9 5 -
J. Harris 27 5-13 0-0 6-6 12 0 0 0 1 16 14 -
L. Leath 22 2-7 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 6 0 -
J. Gilzene 20 5-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 0 10 12 -
J. Williams 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 1 3 6 -
C. Woods 12 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 5 2 -
A. Perry 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Adams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Roberts 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Lange 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Z. Beekman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Strait 33 10-18 0-0 5-8 10 0 1 0 2 25 16 -
K. Criswell 32 8-15 3-9 9-9 8 4 2 0 1 28 26 -
M. Dlouhy 32 5-10 1-2 2-2 6 0 0 2 2 13 9 -
J. Hasquet 26 3-6 0-1 2-4 8 2 0 1 0 8 13 -
M. Martin 19 1-5 1-5 1-2 1 2 2 0 0 4 4 -
B. Ellis 18 1-2 0-0 3-7 0 4 1 0 2 5 6 -
V. Matthews 16 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 -
S. Mayes 7 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
M. Chavez 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
K. Sharp 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 0 5 -
A. Swift 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter