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2006-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.2 โœ“ (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +22 (72-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Grier * 30 9-16 0-0 1-3 5 1 1 0 2 19 8 -
Adam Boone * 30 1-8 0-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 2 0 -
J. Stamper * 20 2-3 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
Z. Puchtel * 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Hargrow 27 3-8 1-3 1-3 3 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
D. Coleman 22 1-5 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 2 1 3 1 -
R. Tucker 21 2-9 1-6 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 7 -3 -
S. Tollackson 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 3 0 3 5 -
J. Abu-Shamala 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Williams 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
R. Saunders 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Coleman * 38 4-10 3-5 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 13 10 -
D. Horton * 33 6-13 1-4 8-8 1 5 2 0 4 21 12 -
C. Hunter * 28 5-9 1-2 2-2 6 1 1 1 1 13 12 -
G. Brown * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 4 9 -
J. Shepherd * 11 1-2 1-2 3-6 1 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
H. Grooms 30 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 4 2 0 2 0 2 -
B. Petway 15 3-4 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 2 1 6 9 -
C. Sims 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
S. Harrell 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
A. Ba 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Brzozowicz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter