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2006-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 39.6% 60.4% -
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 27.2% 72.8% -
Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% -
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Stukes * 35 4-14 1-9 2-2 2 1 5 0 1 11 4 -
Y. Idrissi * 31 2-10 0-0 2-4 6 0 2 1 2 6 3 -
S. Gaines * 29 2-7 1-1 1-2 2 3 4 1 5 6 4 -
M. Mercer * 26 4-10 2-4 2-2 5 4 2 0 1 12 12 -
D. Bliss * 17 2-6 0-0 0-1 5 1 1 1 2 4 4 -
S. Newman 23 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
B. Humphrey 16 5-6 2-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 14 11 -
C. Toney 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
K. Brophy 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
R. Singleton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sparks * 32 4-9 1-6 2-2 6 5 2 0 7 11 8 -
R. Rondo * 28 2-3 0-1 0-2 5 4 0 0 4 4 6 -
R. Morris * 22 5-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 10 8 -
J. Crawford * 19 3-11 2-4 0-1 6 1 1 0 1 8 4 -
B. Perry * 18 3-6 2-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 8 4 -
R. Moss 21 2-6 0-4 1-2 5 5 1 0 2 5 8 -
B. Stockton 19 0-2 0-1 0-2 3 3 0 0 3 0 1 -
S. Thomas 18 6-8 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 13 8 -
L. Obrzut 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
R. Bradley 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Sims 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter