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2006-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 87.9% 12.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% -
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% -
Log Adjusted 37.8% 62.2% -

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks +11 (67-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele * 40 2-9 1-4 8-9 4 6 1 0 3 13 12 -
R. Hendrix * 33 3-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 3 1 7 13 -
J. Davidson * 31 5-8 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 12 8 -
E. Brock * 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 4 4 -
B. Hollinger * 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Felix 33 4-10 4-10 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 12 5 -
A. Gee 25 3-7 1-4 1-4 3 1 0 1 4 8 2 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kinsey * 38 3-10 1-6 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 9 2 -
C. Goree * 36 4-10 3-5 1-2 1 8 0 0 2 12 9 -
R. Balkman * 35 11-15 2-2 4-7 16 1 4 2 1 28 35 -
B. Wallace * 30 2-5 0-1 3-5 4 1 0 2 1 7 8 -
D. Day * 25 1-4 0-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
R. Trice 18 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 8 6 -
B. Sheldon 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Tisby 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter