Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Witt | 39 | 12-19 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 21 | - |
| J. McLeish | 36 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Dialls | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Mascoll | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Brock | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Hird | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Rose | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Brown | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 40 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| T. Peterson | 34 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| R. Gulina | 33 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Robert Merritt | 31 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Merritt | 27 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. West | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Black | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter