Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +2 (58-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stewart | 34 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | - |
| C. Brooks | 31 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Josiah Cox | 29 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| N. Grant | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Calvin | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Bryant | 20 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| N. Works | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. Houston | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Tracy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Plank | 38 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | - |
| R. Fortes | 37 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 8 | - |
| L. Dyer | 35 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| D. Ford | 32 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Ford | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Vandello | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| B. Holtz | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter