Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wright | 36 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Floyd | 34 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| E. Marschall | 29 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| M. Soler | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Lefeld | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| M. Samarco | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Robinson | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Moten | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Clements | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| P. Phillips | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Guerin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Freeman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Dials | 33 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Travis | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| D. Joyce III | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| R. Preston | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Middleton | 22 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| N. Linhart | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Futch | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Peterson | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Rybak | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Milum | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Mraz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Goddard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Sowers | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter