Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Efevberha | 36 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 33 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 20 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 33 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -2 | - |
| J. Heard | 30 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| A. Washington | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Haynes | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Powers | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Smith | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Hill | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Rasmussen | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 34 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| V. Oliver | 34 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Marentez | 34 | 10-13 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 15 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 31 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 19 | - |
| M. Boone | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Carter | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Ford | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter