Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | +23.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +27 (90-63). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Jerrells * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Bruce * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Tommy Swanson * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tim Bush * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Mamadou Diene * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Rogers | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Henry Dugat | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| P. Fields | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Mark Shepherd | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kevis Shipman | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Richard Hurd | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carl Sims | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 30 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Kenton Paulino * | 24 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Buckman * | 23 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| A.J. Abrams | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Mike Williams | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Connor Atchley | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J.D. Lewis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Craig Winder | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter