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Butler Bulldogs 63
@
Green Bay Phoenix 57
2006-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Green Bay Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 55.1% 44.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% - ✓
Margin 78.4% 21.6% -7.1 ✓ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 88.3% 11.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 65.6% 34.4% - ✓

Actual: Green Bay Phoenix -6 (57-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Horan 35 2-7 2-7 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
A. Sheets 34 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 3 2 -
A.J. Graves 33 3-11 1-7 6-6 6 1 3 0 0 13 12 -
B. Polk 32 11-16 0-1 4-6 6 2 0 4 2 26 20 -
B. Crone 27 4-10 3-8 1-2 7 0 0 1 1 12 9 -
B. Ligon 15 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Betko 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Nellems 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Streicher 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Evanochko 40 5-12 3-5 2-2 4 6 1 1 2 15 13 -
M. Schachtner 35 4-12 1-5 3-4 9 0 0 0 0 12 9 -
T. Evans 30 2-8 0-2 1-2 0 0 2 1 0 5 0 -
R. Tillema 29 2-7 1-3 2-3 6 2 1 0 1 7 8 -
J. Lawrence 23 6-9 4-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 16 11 -
A. Minatee 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Werch 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Barkley 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Morris 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter