Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.3% | 3.7% | -17.9 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Winters | 35 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| I. Johnson | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| J. Morton | 27 | 9-10 | 6-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - |
| J. Richards | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Sander | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Grant | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Lovedale | 12 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. McKillop | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| E. Blancett | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Meno | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Paulhus Gosselin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Everhart | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| D. McLendon | 35 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| D. Terry | 33 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Davis | 29 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| A. Xia | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| V. Valiulis | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Thompson | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Miller | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Diasparra | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Nelson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Brick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter