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2006-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 96.7% 3.3% -
Bradley-Terry 91.9% 8.1% -
Margin 95.9% 4.1% -17.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 64.7% 35.3% -
Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -
Log Adjusted 93.0% 7.0% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -14 (83-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morrison * 35 11-20 4-6 7-7 3 2 1 0 2 33 17 -
J.P. Batista * 33 11-19 0-0 10-11 10 0 1 1 1 32 24 -
D. Raivio * 28 0-1 0-1 5-7 1 5 4 0 2 5 12 -
S. Mallon * 27 5-9 0-1 2-2 10 2 0 0 1 12 14 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 0 0 5 -
E. Knight 20 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 3 1 0 0 3 10 -
J. Pargo 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
L. Gurganious 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Heytvelt 11 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
D. Pendergraft 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
V. Neal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Cooper * 35 7-17 3-7 6-8 3 3 1 0 3 23 10 -
P. Jeter * 34 12-22 5-10 2-3 5 3 0 0 4 31 13 -
D. Wilson * 28 5-10 1-1 2-2 7 2 1 0 2 13 11 -
B. Sullivan * 27 1-7 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 5 3 -
K. Field * 19 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 2 8 -
A. Tiefenthaler 25 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 4 5 -
J. Dominguez 11 2-3 1-2 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
S. Watson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. McTear 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
M. Carter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter