Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 36 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 35 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 33 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| W. Miller * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Terry * | 22 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Sanders | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Diaz * | 36 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| R. Hite * | 32 | 5-16 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | - |
| A. King * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Harris * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| G. Hamilton * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Hicks | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Graham | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| B. Asbury | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Clemente | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter