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2006-02-12

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
ELO 63.6% 36.4% -
Bradley-Terry 69.7% 30.3% -
Margin 62.8% 37.2% -2.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -12 (60-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
E. Larkins 0 -2 - 7-8 2 7 7
C. Little 0 6-12 1-3 3-5 6 16 10
I. Latta 0 5-7 2-3 6-8 4 18 15
J. Sell 0 1-1 1-1 - 3 2
L. Atkinson 0 3-6 -1 - 3 6 3

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
T. Granberry 0 4-20 1-4 3-3 4 12 -4
S. Williams 0 4-11 -1 6-6 8 14 11
T. Sardin 0 8-13 - 3-6 9 19 15
S. Zoll 0 3-9 1-3 2-2 7 9 7
B. McGuire 0 1-7 -3 - 4 2 -1

* = starter