Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | -2.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -12 (60-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Little | 0 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| I. Latta | 0 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| J. Sell | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Granberry | 0 | 4-20 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -4 | - |
| S. Williams | 0 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Sardin | 0 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| S. Zoll | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. McGuire | 0 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter