Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +16 (69-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Augustine * | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| D. Brown * | 38 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| R. McBride * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| B. Randle * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Smith | 20 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Frazier | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| W. Carter | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Arnold | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Brock | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dials * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 18 | - |
| J. Butler * | 34 | 8-11 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| M. Sylvester * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Sullinger * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| J. Foster | 35 | 6-12 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| R. Lewis | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| I. Harris | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Terwilliger | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter