Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Floyd | 37 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | - |
| M. Samarco | 33 | 6-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| M. Soler | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | - |
| E. Marschall | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Lefeld | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Wright | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Robinson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Moten | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Phillips | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ingram | 36 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| K. Payne | 34 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Howell | 31 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| F. Valencia | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Amos | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Currie | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Young | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Villegas | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Kent | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter