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2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.6 (2.4 off)

Actual: Toledo Rockets +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Floyd 37 7-14 2-4 1-2 4 0 3 0 5 17 5 -
M. Samarco 33 6-17 4-6 1-2 5 2 1 0 3 17 5 -
M. Soler 30 0-1 0-0 4-4 7 6 0 0 4 4 12 -
E. Marschall 28 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
M. Lefeld 21 4-5 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 3 11 8 -
S. Wright 20 2-7 1-2 4-4 2 3 1 0 3 9 5 -
P. Robinson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
B. Moten 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
P. Phillips 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ingram 36 3-8 1-3 8-8 2 3 2 0 1 15 13 -
K. Payne 34 5-8 2-5 2-6 3 4 1 0 5 14 9 -
K. Howell 31 4-7 3-4 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 13 10 -
F. Valencia 30 4-6 0-0 7-10 7 1 0 0 3 15 14 -
J. Amos 23 2-5 1-2 3-6 3 1 2 0 3 8 6 -
A. Currie 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 3 7 -
J. Young 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 1 3 1 0 -
S. Villegas 8 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
R. Johnson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Kent 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter