Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Czepil | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Blaszczynski | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| C. Djoukeng | 32 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Paige | 26 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| G. Verner | 21 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Payne | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Goffney | 13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| A. Gray | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Bathie | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Dixon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Gaines | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Clark | 37 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 4-8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| J. Alexander | 36 | 10-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 20 | - |
| A. Miller | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| K. Hardaway | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Paez | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| G. Fonzie | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Weaver | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Dykes | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Henry | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter