Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Orr | 31 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| T. Holloway | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Ward | 25 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| K. Jenifer | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| P. Griffith | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| I. Redding | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Hopkins | 18 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Johnson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. McCoy | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| M. Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Key | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Wolf | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Kennedy | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. McDowell | 37 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| R. Allen | 35 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Ballard | 27 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Q. Pryor | 26 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Reisz | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Williams | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Cockerham | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Januska | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter