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2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Loyola Marymount Lions Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Log Adjusted 30.0% 70.0% -

Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -6 (47-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Barlow 44 8-16 2-5 0-0 7 6 2 0 8 18 9 -
T. Forehan-Kelly 37 3-11 0-3 5-7 7 3 1 0 4 11 7 -
R. Hicks 35 5-10 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 5 12 7 -
K. Costain 25 5-10 4-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 14 3 -
W. Galick 23 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
C. Griffin 15 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Grubb 14 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
C. Roush 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
J. Henry 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 2 1 -
C. Oakes 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 2 2 -
T. Pranciliauskas 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Lea 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Wardrop 42 5-16 2-7 8-10 1 4 2 0 5 20 6 -
B. Worthy 39 4-13 0-2 15-21 4 2 4 1 4 23 17 -
M. Knight 38 8-15 0-1 3-4 13 1 1 1 2 19 18 -
J. Ziri 37 2-3 1-1 1-2 8 7 3 0 1 6 20 -
C. Ayer 34 3-7 0-0 7-10 8 0 2 2 3 13 15 -
K. Brooks 12 2-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Haywood 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Montgomery 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter