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2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 68.8% 31.2% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 32.1% 67.9% +4.1 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 75.8% 24.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% -
Log Adjusted 91.9% 8.1% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -12 (59-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bennett 36 2-7 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 4 2 -
P. O'Bryant 34 7-15 0-0 9-10 13 0 0 4 3 23 22 -
D. Ruffin 30 3-8 1-2 9-10 3 5 5 0 1 16 20 -
M. Sommerville 28 5-10 3-4 5-5 11 1 0 1 3 18 18 -
J.J. Tauai 27 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 2 1 2 7 -
L. Wright 21 2-8 0-1 1-2 5 0 1 1 0 5 4 -
W. Franklin 18 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 0 -
J. Crouch 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Adams 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Plank 34 4-9 2-3 3-3 3 4 2 0 0 13 13 -
K. Ford 30 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 2 -2 -
G. Dilligard 30 6-12 0-0 2-3 4 1 1 3 2 14 9 -
L. Dyer 29 5-9 5-8 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 16 12 -
D. Ford 24 0-3 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 2 3 1 3 -
R. Fortes 24 4-9 2-5 1-1 2 0 0 0 4 11 0 -
M. Vandello 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Onyeuku 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
R. Carlwell 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter