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2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Log Adjusted 30.6% 69.4% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Haryasz * 36 4-10 0-0 3-3 4 0 2 0 4 11 3 -
D. Grunfeld * 36 6-12 0-3 4-6 6 4 0 0 3 16 11 -
C. Hernandez * 22 5-12 5-8 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 17 6 -
T. Morris * 21 5-7 2-3 0-2 4 1 0 0 0 12 10 -
T. Finger * 16 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
M. Johnson 36 1-6 1-3 3-5 5 5 0 0 1 6 9 -
L. Hill 22 3-9 1-2 2-4 7 2 0 0 0 9 9 -
P. Prowitt 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
J. Haas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morrison * 39 10-18 4-9 10-12 6 2 2 1 3 34 24 -
J.P. Batista * 35 10-17 0-1 4-4 8 2 1 1 0 24 19 -
D. Raivio * 32 1-7 1-7 1-2 4 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes * 29 3-6 0-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 7 5 -
S. Mallon * 27 3-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 8 8 -
D. Pendergraft 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Pargo 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 1 2 -
E. Knight 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Gurganious 3 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Heytvelt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter