Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors -4 (41-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.