Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Birden | 32 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Taibi | 31 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Kline | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Lowe | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| E. Olson | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Archibeque | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Gordy | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Gebhardt | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. McDaniel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Brucculeri | 38 | 8-11 | 8-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 25 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 38 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| R. Marentez | 36 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| V. Oliver | 34 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Carter | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Boone | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Ford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter