Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.8% | 28.2% | -5.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sparks * | 34 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| R. Rondo * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Perry * | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Morris * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Crawford * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Moss | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Thomas | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Bradley | 22 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Byars * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D. Carroll * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| S. Foster * | 34 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Terrell * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. Gordon * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Cage | 23 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Nwankwo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Skuchas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter