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2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 6.5% 93.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.0% 84.0% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% -
Log Adjusted 73.4% 26.6% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Falker 35 2-5 0-0 4-6 6 3 0 3 1 8 14 -
B. Mullins 35 3-9 0-2 2-4 1 5 8 0 3 8 10 -
M. Shaw 34 6-9 2-2 6-8 8 1 1 0 0 20 21 -
J. Tatum 27 6-10 3-4 4-6 2 0 1 0 3 19 9 -
T. Young 26 3-7 1-3 3-5 4 2 0 0 5 10 4 -
W. Clemmons 25 2-2 1-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 7 12 -
J. Foster 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 2 1 0 4 -
A. Brooks 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Boyle 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mathies 35 4-7 1-2 7-11 0 3 2 0 3 16 11 -
A. Tolliver 34 1-3 0-0 8-9 7 3 1 1 0 10 19 -
J. Dotzler 30 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 3 0 3 1 0 -
N. Porter 29 4-10 1-2 2-4 6 2 0 0 2 11 7 -
D. Watts 19 3-6 2-4 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 9 6 -
P. Hibma 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Day 13 1-2 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Motz 12 3-7 3-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
B. Nengsu 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Bishop 5 2-4 0-0 0-1 1 2 0 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter