Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +9 (70-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durham | 31 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Ball | 30 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Moss | 27 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Beye | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 27 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Edmonds | 23 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| C. Durr | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Morris | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Wilson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Criswell | 34 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 30 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 29 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Strait | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Martin | 23 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| V. Matthews | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Chavez | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Ellis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Sharp | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Mayes | 6 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter