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2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 51.2% 48.8% -
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% -
Margin 22.0% 78.0% +6.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 17.3% 82.7% -
Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% -
Log Adjusted 1.3% 98.7% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +9 (70-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Durham 31 3-8 3-8 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 11 10 -
L. Ball 30 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Moss 27 4-12 0-1 1-3 7 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
A. Beye 27 4-5 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 5 0 9 19 -
J. Jefferson 27 4-13 1-4 0-2 5 1 2 0 1 9 3 -
D. Edmonds 23 4-9 2-5 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 11 0 -
C. Durr 13 1-1 1-1 2-3 3 1 0 0 0 5 8 -
T. Morris 13 3-5 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 2 7 7 -
J. Wilson 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Criswell 34 6-12 3-8 3-3 2 2 1 0 2 18 9 -
M. Dlouhy 30 0-7 0-4 2-2 5 2 1 3 0 2 6 -
J. Hasquet 29 7-10 1-3 0-3 6 0 0 1 1 15 11 -
A. Strait 28 4-7 0-0 3-5 7 3 1 1 2 11 14 -
M. Martin 23 3-7 1-5 1-2 3 3 1 1 1 8 8 -
V. Matthews 20 1-4 0-1 0-1 3 4 0 0 1 2 4 -
M. Chavez 12 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
B. Ellis 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Sharp 8 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
S. Mayes 6 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter