Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +6.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +9 (70-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durham | 31 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Ball | 30 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Moss | 27 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Beye | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 27 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Edmonds | 23 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| C. Durr | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Morris | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Wilson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Criswell | 34 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 30 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 29 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Strait | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Martin | 23 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| V. Matthews | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Chavez | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Ellis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Sharp | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Mayes | 6 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter