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2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 60.8% 39.2% -
Margin 65.1% 34.9% -3.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 73.0% 27.0% -
Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% -
Log Adjusted 89.6% 10.4% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs -5 (78-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton 33 10-14 9-12 4-4 6 3 1 0 3 33 26 -
C.J. Watson 33 3-6 1-3 4-4 5 2 0 1 4 11 9 -
D. Bradshaw 32 3-6 0-1 3-6 4 8 3 0 4 9 14 -
A. Patterson 28 5-9 0-1 5-6 6 3 0 0 2 15 13 -
J. Smith 27 3-8 0-5 4-6 4 1 2 0 2 10 7 -
M. Wingate 23 1-2 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 5 3 2 -
S. Asumnu 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Howell 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
R. Childress 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gaines 31 6-10 1-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 13 11 -
M. Mercer 30 5-14 1-5 1-1 1 2 1 1 3 12 0 -
L. Stukes 29 6-12 5-6 3-5 5 2 3 0 4 20 14 -
Y. Idrissi 21 7-10 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
D. Bliss 21 3-5 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 2 2 9 6 -
B. Humphrey 20 2-7 0-2 0-1 3 3 2 0 0 4 5 -
S. Newman 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
K. Brophy 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 0 -
T. Woodbury 8 2-3 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
C. Toney 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter