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2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% -
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Log Adjusted 47.5% 52.5% -

Actual: Florida Gators +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mitchell * 40 5-16 1-6 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 11 1 -
G. Temple * 38 1-2 1-2 0-1 3 2 1 1 3 3 5 -
T. Mitchell * 36 5-11 0-3 4-4 3 1 1 1 5 14 4 -
G. Davis * 25 5-16 0-0 6-12 15 0 0 0 4 16 11 -
T. Thomas * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Lazare 24 5-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 10 6 -
M. Rolle 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
B. Voogd 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 2 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Green * 37 1-9 1-6 0-1 5 7 1 0 2 3 5 -
A. Horford * 27 8-11 0-0 0-2 4 2 1 4 1 16 15 -
L. Humphrey * 25 5-7 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 13 9 -
C. Brewer * 24 1-7 0-2 4-4 4 2 1 0 4 6 2 -
J. Noah * 20 6-11 0-0 4-6 9 1 0 2 0 16 17 -
W. Hodge 24 3-3 0-0 1-1 0 1 2 0 2 7 5 -
A. Moss 18 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
C. Richard 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
D. Huertas 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter