Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell * | 40 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| G. Temple * | 38 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Mitchell * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 4 | - |
| G. Davis * | 25 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| T. Thomas * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Lazare | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Rolle | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Voogd | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Green * | 37 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Horford * | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| L. Humphrey * | 25 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| C. Brewer * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Noah * | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| W. Hodge | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Moss | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Richard | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Huertas | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter