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2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 58.9% 41.1% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 13.0% 87.0% -
Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +20 (84-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson * 37 1-4 0-1 3-4 5 4 2 0 2 5 10 -
R. LeMelle * 36 4-12 2-5 3-4 6 1 3 0 4 13 7 -
R. Barrett * 33 4-11 2-4 1-2 4 1 1 0 3 11 3 -
J. Dollard * 30 4-10 0-1 3-6 5 1 2 0 1 11 8 -
K. Barber * 22 6-9 0-0 2-5 4 1 1 3 1 14 13 -
F. Tolbert 16 1-4 0-2 3-4 1 1 1 1 3 5 2 -
D. Hayles 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
L. Jackson 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Cameron 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Harvis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Edun 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 36 7-12 2-5 3-5 4 6 3 1 0 19 21 -
J. Modica * 32 5-12 1-6 6-6 3 2 2 0 5 17 7 -
C. Thomas * 23 5-7 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 13 11 -
D. Jefferson * 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 5 -1 -
S. Hill * 20 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 3 1 4 9 -
D. Townes 18 2-5 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
E. Ferguson 17 4-6 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 9 6 -
V. Hunter 15 2-2 1-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
S. McCurdy 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
C. McGowan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Cranford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter