Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +20 (84-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Robertson * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| R. LeMelle * | 36 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Barrett * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. Dollard * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Barber * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Hayles | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Jackson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Cameron | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Harvis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Edun | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne * | 36 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| J. Modica * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Jefferson * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| S. Hill * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Townes | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 17 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| V. Hunter | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. McGowan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Cranford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter