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Princeton Tigers 60
@
Harvard Crimson 59
2006-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% - ✗
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 ✗ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% - ✓
Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 76.6% 23.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 76.9% 23.1% - ✓

Actual: Harvard Crimson -1 (59-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Carter 35 2-5 0-0 1-1 4 3 0 1 0 5 8 -
N. Savage 35 3-10 2-7 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 10 2 -
K. Koncz 34 7-13 6-12 0-1 3 2 2 0 0 20 14 -
S. Greenman 29 4-10 2-5 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 10 7 -
L. Owings 25 3-9 1-4 0-0 6 0 2 1 3 7 4 -
J. Conway 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 2 0 -
M. Strittmatter 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
K. Steuerer 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 2 3 -
H. Schaen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stehle 40 4-8 0-1 5-7 15 2 1 4 1 13 26 -
D. Housman 39 4-6 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 3 9 4 -
J. Goffredo 35 1-9 0-5 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 6 -1 -
M. Beal 34 4-6 0-1 3-4 9 3 3 0 2 11 18 -
B. Cusworth 31 6-10 0-0 8-9 4 0 1 2 3 20 14 -
Z. Martin 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Darcy 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
B. Unger 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Yada 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter