Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -18 (56-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Altheimer | 33 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Efevberha | 32 | 3-16 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Heard | 28 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Smith | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Haynes | 18 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Powers | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Washington | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Hill | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Williams | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Porter | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -4 | - |
| C. Soto | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Misko | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Bates | 17 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| R. Cobbs | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Schille | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Knox | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter