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2006-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Golden Hurricane SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.0% 56.0% -
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -4 (51-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Crow 38 5-15 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 1 3 11 2 -
B. McDade 36 2-7 1-2 2-2 2 4 3 0 4 7 5 -
C. Ramsdell 33 4-11 3-5 4-4 9 0 1 0 4 15 10 -
C. Wallace 28 1-2 1-1 4-4 1 2 2 0 0 7 10 -
A. Price 24 4-8 0-0 0-1 11 2 0 1 5 8 9 -
R. Reese 15 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 5 4 -
S. Mitchell 13 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Wheatley 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. James 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hopkins 38 3-13 0-4 5-5 7 3 3 0 3 11 8 -
D. Roberts 32 1-7 0-3 1-2 7 2 0 0 4 3 1 -
B. Fall 30 2-7 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 4 3 5 2 -
D. Willingham 26 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 3 5 0 -
D. Rackauskas 23 3-4 0-0 6-6 4 0 0 2 1 12 13 -
D. Pearson 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 4 5 -
J. Killen 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
I. Ofoegbu 12 2-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 1 2 6 6 -
B. Epps 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter