Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +1 (78-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Modica | 38 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. Payne | 36 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| C. Thomas | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Hill | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Townes | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. McGowan | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| V. Hunter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 40 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 15 | - |
| G. Davis | 37 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| G. Temple | 33 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Thomas | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Lazare | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Voogd | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Rolle | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter