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2006-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% -
Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Log Adjusted 21.9% 78.1% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +27 (90-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Douby * 37 9-25 1-9 8-8 5 4 1 0 4 27 8 -
M. Webb * 36 4-7 2-2 4-5 4 5 0 0 2 14 14 -
J. Griffin * 28 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 4 2 -
O. Bailey * 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
B. Joynes * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Waterstradt 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
S. Keating 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
F. Russell 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
J. Inglis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Mimmo 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Z. Gibson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Cherry 2 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Quinn * 37 7-9 2-4 0-0 2 8 2 0 2 16 17 -
K. McAlarney * 34 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 8 2 0 0 6 12 -
R. Carter * 31 5-11 4-7 3-6 9 1 1 0 2 17 15 -
C. Falls * 29 3-7 1-3 0-3 4 2 0 1 1 7 6 -
T. Francis * 25 8-12 0-0 5-10 7 2 0 0 2 21 16 -
R. Cornett 20 5-8 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 0 0 14 13 -
R. Kurz 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
L. Zeller 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Ayers 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Z. Hillesland 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Murphy 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter