Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Chiotti | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| M. Walters | 34 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 8-11 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| K. Collins | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| K. Prochaska | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Box | 20 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Toppert | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Kersten | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Prentice | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Danridge | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Harden | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Walter | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| C. Lewis | 30 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 11 | - |
| S. Gilling | 29 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. Patterson | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Harrison | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| S. Creason | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| F. Robinson | 13 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Morris | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Harris | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter