Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +10 (61-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hood | 40 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 38 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. McCraw | 34 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 32 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Anderson | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Henke | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Teets | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Frye | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 38 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Abukar | 37 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| R. Williams | 37 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | - |
| J. Sharper | 31 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Hudson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter