Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +4 (45-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dilligard | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| N. Plank | 29 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Fortes | 24 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Ford | 24 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Ford | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| L. Dyer | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Vandello | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brooks | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Stewart | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Calvin | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Bryant | 22 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| S. Tracy | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Works | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| N. Grant | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Cox | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter