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2006-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 38.6% 61.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% -
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +4 (45-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Dilligard 35 6-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 12 10 -
N. Plank 29 3-9 2-7 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 8 5 -
R. Fortes 24 2-9 2-8 1-3 5 1 1 0 1 7 4 -
K. Ford 24 0-5 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 2 1 -
D. Ford 23 1-5 0-1 1-2 5 2 2 1 1 3 7 -
L. Dyer 22 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 2 3 0 0 5 9 -
M. Vandello 15 0-2 0-2 0-2 0 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Onyeuku 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
B. Holtz 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Carlwell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Brooks 30 3-7 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 8 4 -
A. Stewart 29 2-9 0-1 4-7 6 7 0 0 5 8 7 -
A. Calvin 28 3-9 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
C. Bryant 22 1-6 1-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
B. Heemskerk 22 1-1 0-0 1-3 5 1 3 0 2 3 9 -
S. Tracy 18 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
N. Works 18 4-4 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 1 2 8 10 -
N. Grant 17 0-2 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Cox 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
A. Emmenecker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter