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2006-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% -
Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% -
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +26 (90-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Evans * 36 9-19 7-16 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 25 8 -
J. McKinney * 33 6-10 1-5 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 13 11 -
J. Horton * 32 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 7 0 0 5 2 2 -
M. Brown * 27 4-8 0-2 3-4 1 0 3 0 0 11 7 -
K. Young * 22 5-8 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 0 0 10 8 -
L. Lyons 19 1-4 1-1 0-2 3 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Douglas 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
K. Grimes 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
G. Dandridge 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Watkins 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Lawrence 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jerrells * 34 11-14 5-6 1-2 2 2 2 0 2 28 18 -
A. Bruce * 27 3-9 2-5 1-1 2 6 2 0 5 9 5 -
T. Swanson * 26 4-7 0-1 2-5 5 1 2 2 0 10 13 -
M. Diene * 21 2-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 4 1 4 9 -
T. Bush * 20 2-2 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 5 6 -
H. Dugat 22 2-5 1-4 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
K. Rogers 21 5-6 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 1 1 13 13 -
P. Fields 18 2-5 0-1 5-5 5 1 0 0 3 9 7 -
K. Shipman 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Hurd 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 -
M. Shepherd 3 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
C. Sims 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter