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2006-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% -
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% -
Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% -
Log Adjusted 68.7% 31.3% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -8 (67-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton * 32 11-18 7-10 2-2 7 0 0 0 3 31 17 -
D. Bradshaw * 30 1-4 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 2 9 -
A. Patterson * 27 2-6 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 2 2 4 11 -
M. Wingate * 26 4-6 0-0 4-6 1 0 0 0 1 12 6 -
C.J. Watson 33 3-11 0-5 4-4 5 4 3 0 2 10 9 -
J. Smith 23 3-9 2-6 0-3 3 3 1 0 3 8 3 -
S. Asumnu 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 5 5 -
J. Howell 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Childress 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rondo * 37 5-12 0-3 1-4 5 6 1 0 3 11 8 -
R. Morris * 35 9-14 0-0 2-5 7 0 2 2 0 20 17 -
J. Crawford * 33 5-9 1-3 1-3 4 1 1 0 2 12 7 -
B. Perry * 24 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 5 4 -
P. Sparks * 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Moss 23 5-9 1-4 3-3 3 2 2 0 2 14 10 -
S. Thomas 16 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Stockton 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
R. Sims 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter