Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | -0.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ahearn | 36 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| N. Bilyeu | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| T. Chaney | 29 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Laurie | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Easley | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Frazier | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Lamberth | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Falker | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| B. Mullins | 37 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Young | 32 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 3 | - |
| M. Shaw | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Clemmons | 30 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Brooks | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Foster | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Boyle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter