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2006-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 87.8% 12.2% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -43.3 (46.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.3% 67.7% -
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Log Adjusted 23.5% 76.5% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Forehan-Kelly 40 5-11 1-3 11-12 9 0 1 0 4 22 17 -
M. Gerrity 31 4-12 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 10 3 -
D. Grubb 31 2-6 0-4 0-0 8 4 1 1 2 4 10 -
C. Oakes 25 5-6 0-0 1-4 4 0 1 0 1 11 9 -
C. Griffin 20 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
C. Roush 20 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 4 3 -
W. Galick 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
M. Lea 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
R. Hicks 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Henry 4 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wiggins Jr. 35 4-9 0-1 7-8 11 1 1 3 5 15 17 -
A. Surratt 34 6-15 1-4 1-3 1 4 2 0 0 14 6 -
N. Pierce 33 7-13 0-1 2-5 7 5 1 1 0 16 17 -
D. Cavic 28 2-7 2-6 3-4 4 1 1 0 3 9 5 -
D. Ingerson 22 2-3 2-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
J. Gumbs 20 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
D. Shiller 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Byrd 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
M. Bell 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
V. Polakovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter