Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -24 (56-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Angley | 33 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Niesen | 31 | 10-14 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| M. Henke | 26 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| J. Kaempf | 25 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| S. Denison | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Rohe | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Bryant | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Sammet | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Daniel | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Burke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Mbanugo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wilson | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Cooper | 32 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| P. Jeter | 31 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Sullivan | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| K. Field | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Watson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Tiefenthaler | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Lewis | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Carter | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Dominguez | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. McTear | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter