Model Predictions
| Model | Marist Red Foxes | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.9% | 41.1% | -2.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags -11 (48-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.