Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brown | 39 | 8-20 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| S. Hodge | 39 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Miles | 38 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| J.R Duffey | 36 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Mathis | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Durosier | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| G. Noel | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maxwell | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| T. Todd | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| A. Carter | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Han | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| H. Allen | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Van Schaick | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| G. Middleton | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Oglesby | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Bell | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Diakhate | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter