Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -11 (65-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.