Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -11 (65-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dixon | 39 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 7-10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 14 | - |
| J. Hazouri | 38 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Jackson | 28 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| S. Sharp | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Acker | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Ramsey | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Davis | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| R. Damus | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter