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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 8.8% 91.2% -
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% -
Margin 7.3% 92.7% +14.0 (20.0 off)
Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lee 28 2-6 0-2 1-2 8 2 0 0 5 5 4 -
J. Wallace 27 4-9 4-6 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 12 8 -
K. Jones 24 0-1 0-0 4-4 3 5 0 0 0 4 11 -
B. Allen 24 7-7 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 15 8 -
L. Rogers 23 1-3 1-2 4-7 0 2 1 0 0 7 7 -
C. Bargeman 17 3-5 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 7 0 -
J. Spencer 15 3-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 9 7 -
T. Mitchell 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 3 2 -
K. Forges 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 3 4 -
A. Dyer 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Ross 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Clark 40 3-4 0-0 4-4 1 3 2 0 1 10 11 -
A. Paez 35 4-14 1-2 8-9 7 1 0 0 2 17 9 -
J. Alexander 30 2-8 1-4 1-2 5 1 1 1 2 6 4 -
K. Hardaway 26 6-9 0-1 2-3 7 2 1 0 1 14 14 -
M. Kingsley 22 2-5 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 0 2 8 4 -
A. Miller 18 2-8 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 5 -2 -
G. Fonzie 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
C. Dykes 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
S. Weaver 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter