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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% -
Bradley-Terry 90.3% 9.7% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -44.5 (33.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Log Adjusted 39.2% 60.8% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -11 (63-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Wardrop 37 5-12 2-6 3-4 2 3 1 0 3 15 6 -
B. Worthy 36 4-6 0-1 10-12 2 5 3 0 3 18 19 -
C. Ayer 34 3-9 0-0 1-3 7 2 1 1 0 7 9 -
M. Knight 33 9-13 0-0 4-6 6 1 0 0 1 22 15 -
J. Ziri 24 2-4 2-2 0-0 8 2 2 1 2 6 13 -
K. Brooks 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Haywood 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
J. Montgomery 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gumbs 38 6-14 1-5 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 15 7 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 36 4-11 0-2 4-7 11 2 1 2 1 12 16 -
A. Surratt 33 6-19 3-11 2-2 2 5 3 0 5 17 3 -
D. Cavic 29 1-2 1-2 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
N. Pierce 26 4-5 0-0 0-2 10 0 1 1 3 8 12 -
V. Polakovic 13 1-3 0-1 3-4 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
D. Ingerson 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Byrd 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Bell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Shiller 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter